Super Bowl XLV

Conference championship games: 2-0
Playoffs: 6-4
Green Bay wins if: The Packers can somehow scratch out a semblance of a running game against the Steelers. The more times Aaron Rodgers drops back, the more chances the Pittsburgh linebackers have of making a play. Green Bay conversely needs to stop the Steelers' running game - Rashard Mendenhall was effective in the AFC championship game against the Jets.

Pittsburgh wins if: The Steelers' offensive line continues to produce. The group has dealt with injuries all season, and will go on without stud rookie center Maurkice Pouncey. Pittsburgh's secondary, even with Troy Polamalu, is the defense's weak link. The nickel package will need to be prepared against the Packers' excellent receivers.

Conclusion: Top level quarterbacks, top level defenses, top level young coaches - classic championship scenario. The obvious matchup to watch is the Steelers' defense against Green Bay's offense, but these games often turn on other facets. If Pittsburgh can run the ball, that limits the Packers' offensive opportunities and any defense will take that. Pittsburgh 21, Green Bay 17.